Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Top 2% of income earners become much more wealthy while the middle class disappears.

There have been some recent articles that make reference to "the top 2% of income  earners"  or other similar type description. The reason for that is simple: the top 2% are way more wealthy than the rest of us, and it turns out, more wealthy by a considerable margin even compared to the other, lower 8% within the relatively tony top 10% of all income earners.


I came across a decent article that indeed references and explains this very topic.  The title of the article initially seems to be about a slightly different issue:  "Why So Many Rich People Don't Feel Rich".   But the top 2 % issue is brought to light in the article pretty well, so I am listing the reference here.

The article does not go into great detail, but I think that is a good thing; it is a very readable. I hope many of you take the time to read it.

http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/11/why-so-many-rich-people-dont-feel-very-rich/?src=me&ref=business 


Additional info:  
The top 1 percent of American earners now have tax rates half what they were in the 1970s. And they took in 23.5 percent of the nation’s pre-tax income in 2007 — up from less than 9 percent in 1976. During the boom years of 2002 to 2007, that top 1 percent’s pre-tax income increased an extraordinary 10 percent every year. In that same period, the average inflation-adjusted hourly wage went down more than 7 percent and the poverty rate rose.  The rich have been getting richer as their tax rate has steadily eased. And they are taking the added wealth and using it to influence public policy, to the detriment of the middle class.

The information above comes from a good article written by Jay Kimball. I highly recommend you read this:
When does the wealth of a nation hurt its well-being?

Many conservative pundits love to beat up on unions, and claim that unionized public service employees make too much money.  But what does this really mean?

If the average American's hourly wage has gone down, then all it means is that unionized workers have to some extent lost less of their wages than non-union workers.  So, would it make the pundits feel better if the union workers become as poor as quickly as the rest of middle-class America is becoming? So let average American point fingers at their neighbors and blame them, as if it's the unions' fault that everyone else's wages are going down. This is focusing on the wrong issue.

A better issue to research is: why the middle class is disappearing!   Why have middle class wages fallen while at the same time the wealthiest 2% have gotten more wealthy - and their taxes have gone down?  

This post will continue to evolve as I do more research and find additional data to add.

Since the NY Times is going to go to a subscription model very soon (as of the time of this writing), I have copied and pasted the entire article below.  I believe it is important enough to read.

Why So Many Rich People Don’t Feel Very Rich

2:37 p.m. | Updated to substitute chart, and to post link to underlying data.
Our post last week on whether the salary of Robert Gibbs, who is leaving his post as White House press secretary, is “modest” provoked some interesting reader comments. Several readers chimed in to say that even if it most likely placed Mr. Gibbs comfortably in the top 10 percent of earners, an annual salary of $172,000 probably didn’t feel like a lot of money, given where he lives, similarly educated counterparts in the private sector, etc.
But there seems to be a broader fissure underlying this discussion: why don’t people at the 90th percentile of the income distribution feel particularly rich?
The answer is simple: because any Americans who are richer than this cohort are so much richer.
At the request of The New York Times, the Tax Policy Center estimated Americans’ income percentiles for households across American in 2010. The numbers were calculated by Rachel Johnson, a research associate at the center, and were rounded to the nearest $100. The chart below to see where these income breaks fall.
DESCRIPTION Source: Rachel Johnson, Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-7). Note: Distribution excludes dependents and units with negative income.
As you can see, for the bottom 90 to 95 percent of Americans, the income distribution is relatively flat. For an American household in bottom 30 percent of the distribution, a move upward of five percentiles (to the 35th percentile) would mean an increase in cash income of a just few thousand dollars. Same goes for a family at the 40th percentile, and at the 60th percentile.
But notice what happens on the right side of the graph, around the percentiles in the mid-90s, when the line suddenly kinks upward.
The line gets much steeper because at the very top of the income scale, the monetary divisions between percentiles grow much greater. Those in the middle earn a little less than people a few percentiles up from them, whereas those at the top earn a lot less than their counterparts in nearby, higher percentiles. For example, those who aspire to hop from the 30th percentile to the 35th percentile would need to increase their cash income by $4,000 annually (or by about 17 percent); those who aspire to hop from the 94th percentile to the 99th percentile would require an increase of $324,900 (or 171 percent).
In other words, at least in dollar terms, there is much greater inequality at the very top of the income scale than at the bottom or in the middle. Whether this translates to much greater differences in standards of living at the top is debatable, as an extra $1,000 for a poor family likely makes a much bigger impact on that family’s quality of life than an extra $1,000 for a wealthy family.
Still, when evaluating their own incomes, most families are trying to keep up with the Joneses: they envy the wealthier neighbor whose lifestyle they aim to match. And in dollar terms, the rich are falling far shorter of their respective Joneses than the middle-income and lower-income are.
So when the 95th-percentilers think of their incomes in the context of what their richer neighbors are earning, this cohort doesn’t feel very rich. (Indeed, the gap between the rich and the very rich has been growing in the last few decades. Exactly why the gap has been growing is unclear, but has likely been influenced by a combination of tax policy, deregulation and technological advances that allow people to control more capital.)
It is perhaps no wonder, then, that so many people who are statistically rich call themselves “upper middle” or even “middle class.” They are much, much richer than lots of poor people, but also much, much poorer than some very visibly rich people. From their perspective, they truly are in the middle. It’s the income version of China’s “Middle Kingdom” syndrome. 
Addendum: Since a number of readers have asked for it, here is the Tax Policy Center’s percentile data used to create the chart above.  

Here are some comments from the comment section of the NYT web site which I think are good:

"One look at this curve explains why it is taking so long for the economy to get going. Too shallow a slope for 95% percent of the curve and too steep a slope for 2% of the curve. The current economic softness in consumer spending would be crystal clear if you were to overlay a transparent graphs of percent of income increase, and increase in average household costs. The cost graph would be out pacing the income graph in 85% of the curve. The rest of the curve, well, you see how it grows so steep at the extreme far end. Whats wrong with this picture, its obvious."

"The book "Winner-Take-All Politics" by Yale's Jacob Hatcher and Berkeley's Paul Pierson explains why this has happened. Political decisions over the last 30 years by Democrats and Republicans both since Jimmy Carter. With TV advertising and the massive amounts of money required to win elections, BOTH parties realized huge campaign contributions are essential, and that means pleasing Wall Street and corporations. The little people no longer count. ALL political decisions regarding corporations and Wall Street or tax policy for 30 years have favored those with sacks of cash. Our politicians think they are independent and not corrupt but the historical record tells a different story. Our democracy is broken, people. It is now all about the money."

"It also explains why Social Security is in so-called crisis. When economic growth goes to people who are already well beyond the cap, the system is starved - artificially - of revenue."
"So much for the trickle-down theory of income distribution. When will the US be prepared to lable the deterioration in our economy which has taken place over the last 30 years a failure? The private sector upper class has responded to lower tax rates and fewer regulatory restrictions by lining its own pockets at the expense of the rest of the country. We have very high unemployment, a volatile housing market, and jobs migrating to other countries. Wake up, folks - we need to take the government back from the truly wealthy!"

"An excellent argument for taxing the wealthy at 95% so they can feel like the rest of us. And congress gave these folks a tax break on top of their wealth? Wow - are our priorities screwed up."

"Oh, those other '99ers'. Does anyone seriously think that the root cause of income inequality in America is whether one has or does not have a college degree? It's not complicated. The people at the top are paid way too much, and the people in the middle and the bottom are paid way too little."

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I'm using this particular post to consolidate some interesting statistics about taxes and other related data.

There is a very good short article about the differences in the Democratic and Republican tax plans - which was a big issue leading up to the 2010 election.  Although the election is past the Republican tax plan has basically been adopted, it is worth seeing the differences presented in graphic form - which this article does.

Closer look at the bush tax cuts    

As you can see from the article, the vast majority of Americans would have been marginally better off with the Democratic plan, while the very rich are way better off with the Republican plan. Yet, most middle class income people were led to believe that the Republican plan was in their better interest.  The reason for that misconception is that the Republican's message is financed and choreographed with a lot of corporate money, and telling articles like the one above simply were not given the broad coverage they deserved.

The following is an excerpt from an article in Time magazine:
Money has emerged as the electoral trump card in the U.S. political system, and corporations have a Supreme Court-recognized right to use their considerable financial muscle to promote candidates and policies favorable to their business operations and to resist policies and shut out candidates deemed inimical to their business interests. So, whether it's health reform or the stimulus package, the power of special interests in the U.S. system invariably produces either gridlock, or mish-mash legislation crafted to please the narrow interests of a variety of competing interests rather than the aggregated interests of the economy and society as a whole. Efficient and rational decision-making it's not. Nor does it appear capable of tackling long-term problems.

Read more: http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,2043235,00.html#ixzz1BaEMxrpk

7 comments:

  1. Hi Lou,

    Congratulations on your blog.

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  2. Thanks John. I hope you stop by often. Please leave any comments you want.

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  3. Again congratulations on your blog. I admire your efforts.

    I think the attached article helps explain part of my problem with public employee unions. This article explains how the Teachers Union puts a higher priority on its seniority rules than on teaching children in underprivileged areas, at least in the opinion of the ACLU. Most of the explination is toward the end of the article.

    http://www.presstelegram.com/ci_17164817?IADID=Search-www.presstelegram.com-www.presstelegram.com


    Also, if you will allow, I will repost the article on the history of influence that the public employee unions have had in the State of California and how it is contributing to its fiscal problems.
    http://city-journal.org/2010/20_2_california-unions.html

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  4. John, I read both of your articles. I can see your point. But I think it's fair to say that the unions in California seem to have more power than in the rest of the U.S. So the issue you point out may be more exagerated in your neck of the woods than maybe - anywhere else.

    In Philadelphia proper, unions still have a strong presence as well in public service agencies and such. Across the river in Camden, NJ, almost half of the police and fire employees were very recently laid off because of budget cuts. According to articles I've read, the unions involved refused to accept pay cuts for their employees, and the lay offs ensued.

    So, a question I have about this whole issue is, where do you draw the line with respect to cutting wages - and accepting a lower standard of living, while at the same time - the rich keep getting richer? (I suggest you look at my blog posts about the top 2%, and the middle class). When are things too far out of balance?

    The fiscal problems are in part related to the amount of taxes collected. Are rich individuals and large corporations paying their fair share? The common thinking is that taxes are too high. It's a difficult question to answer, but there is more to the question than the average person understands, in my opinion. I will attempt to address this issue of taxes on one of my upcoming posts.

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  5. Lou,
    I hope you don't mind the discussion amongst ourselves and I hope others will join in in the future.

    I agree that CA is an exaggerated situation regarding public employee unions but it is a real case correct? I don’t see that you have disputing any of the points in the articles. California is a very large economy and it is a excellent example of what can happen if this sort of power is left unchecked, agreed? Is the situation in Greece and France not somewhat similar? I guess I’m not sure what your point is?

    AJust to be clear, I make a distinction between unions in the private sector and unions in the public sector. I think it is a big distinction. In the private sector if employee costs and benefits get too out of wack the company becomes insolvent and goes bankrupt (unless of course they get bailed out). Everyone loses. In the public sector, if the employee costs get out of wack you go back to the taxpayers and they are the ones that suffer. I don’t think this is fair. Public employees need skin in the game just like the private sector union employees. Your second paragraph is yet another example of how public employee unions have no regard for the public they serve and are paid by.

    I have read all of your blog post here. You and the people you reference make good points. I am having difficulty determining the solutions you/they propose, however. As you stated in one of your posts in the other blog – and I hope I have it somewhat correct – the USA enjoyed a huge advantage after WWI and WWII. Economies were devastated by the wars. The USA was virtually the only game in town. Could this have not been one of the major reasons for the development of the middle class here? Are we still the only game in town? Did the middle class become complacent? Did the middle class loose our drive to be better? Will taxing the top 2% make it all better? Is taking away the incentive of entrepreneurs the best solution? These are difficult questions and I doubt anyone has the answer.

    I do look forward to your post on taxes and to answer your questions – I don’t think rich individuals pay enough in taxes and our tax rates are not too high. I don’t see the point in charging large corporation more taxes as it hurts consumers and jobs. But, on the other hand, I don’t know why we insist on giving them tax breaks and incentives. Wall Street needs to be regulated like a hawk – they have no soul.

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  6. John, I don't mind if it's just us having the discussion. Hopefully we'll be able to entice more people to join our conversation soon.

    I was just reading some of the absurd comments in the recent Fire Pit blog, and I don't know whether to laugh or cry. .. .. But I digress.

    You have a valid argument, particularly in California, about too much power by the unions in some circumstances.

    The question I would like America to ask itself is, not why union workers are paid more than other people; it's, why are wages of the average American going down? If we are honest with that issue, the focus should shift to our declining economy.

    I feel like there is a jealousy factor in the arguments against unions. "My wages are down, so why should theirs be so high?". How about asking, "why have the good jobs disappeared?"

    It's a much more difficult question to answer, because there is no easy answer. I get that public sector unions are supported by taxes, etc. Okay, so we lay off employees, lower their wages. Does that make things better?

    The topic of a future post will be about taxes. But in the mean time: You said that taxes shouldn't be too high to take away incentives of entrepreneurs. Why then, during the highly innovative time of the 1950's and 60's, the highest tax rate was 70%?

    President Kennedy I think, lowered the rate to around 50%. That wasn't too high to stifle innovation. But it was high enough to bring in revenue so the government could build the infrastructure and create the military that we have today, without going into massive debt. No?

    It was the union movement that redistributed wealth from the owners to the middle class. If it wasn't for that movement, I believe we'd have been where - we are now headed, which is having a smaller middle class, with lots of people in the lower middle income level, and a very small very rich upper class that is able to control our politicians and unfairly influence political debate.

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  7. This article outlines another example of how public employee unions use their power and influence to allow their members to offer substandard service to the public that they work for and to engage in corruption. In this particular case the prison guard union members are the main source of smuggling phones to inmates to allow them to run drugs and other crimes while in prison.

    The article outlines how this politically powerful union used its influence to get work rules that allowed them to do this and to make it too costly to correct the situation.

    http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-prison-guards-20110204,0,2785860.story

    So you see, it is not just the very rich that are able to contol politicians and unfairly influence policical debate.

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